when we know enough to make a good decision and when it’s just a guess..

Discussion Topic 1 of 2:

**In terms of a “word count” guideline, roughly 300-400 words is a good target. 

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Discussion Topic 2 of 2:

  • Back in Unit 6 we introduced how to compare “this versus that”. This topic is critical, because VERY often, people take limited evidence and feel emboldened to draw a conclusion because they think they know enough. It’s akin to the fervor around health remedies during the early phases of the COVID-19 outbreak for which there were only anecdotal reports of success and no real, defensible evidence to support their effectiveness. Effectively, this was the same as saying “treatment A is better than nothing” when actually there was NO adequate evidence to support this. There is a good, brief summary of these quack remedies, here on Wikipedia: link (Links to an external site.)
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_unproven_methods_against_COVID-19#Temperature
  • Even some news personalities and family doctors got in on the hype, throwing their statistical knowledge (if they ever had any!) to the wind in favor of a “quick fix” or clinging to hope. There is a place for hope and “just giving it a shot”, of course, but as managers we have to know when we know enough to make a good decision, and when it’s just a guess. Facts and evidence do matter.

**In terms of a “word count” guideline, roughly 300-400 words is a good target. 

when we know enough to make a good decision and when it’s just a guess.

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